Wednesday, March 25, 2020

Officially, they call this SARS-COV-2. Therefore, SARS2 because SARS1 was a corona virus too.  And SARS1 was reportedly much deadlier with 9.6% fatality rate. That's many fold higher than SARS2. 

So, why did SARS2 turn into a pandemic and not SARS1? There was as much international travel then as there is now, wasn't there? So, why did this one go everywhere in the world? The answer lies in the diagnostic criteria. For SARS1, you had to have the positive PCR test, but also specific symptoms, plus an epidemiological link. But for SARS2, all you need is the positive PCR test. Nothing else. You can have any symptoms or no symptoms. And there doesn't have to be a person-to-person link. And especially the way things are now, they're not going to do any tracing. It's just the test, a test that does not prove the presence of even one virus, never mind the millions that it takes to cause infection. Are you aware that there are people who flip-flop back and forth between positive and negative tests?

And are you aware that it is not a "binary"  test? It's not a matter of whether duplication takes place or not because, apparently, if you repeat the test enough times, most everyone is going to show a positive result. So, they have, arbitrarily, set a limit on the number of cycles. So, it has to turn positive by that number of cycles. But different countries are setting the bar at different levels.   

With a false positive rate of only 1%, a city as big as Wuhon would falsely show 100,000 people infected, 

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