Thursday, May 9, 2019

The Tale of an Idiot

Bill Evans: I do believe that Oswald was in the lunch room both before and after the shooting. 

Ralph Cinque: How could Oswald have been in the lunch room before, after, (and presumably) during the shooting, when he was just reaching the lunch room when Baker saw him? 

Baker saw Oswald passing through the vestibule to enter the lunch room. It means that Oswald was just getting to the lunch room when Baker saw him. And that means that he wasn't there a minute before. 

How can a person be JUST ARRIVING at a place they already were? If he was just getting there, then he wasn't there a minute before.

Now, I realize that it is physically and theoretically possible that he was there, and then he left, and then he came back. But, no one has the right to assume it. It's so unlikely and so absent from the evidence that it would be arbitrary and capricious to assume it. 

And there is this 14th century monk named Occam, Heaven help us, who will slit your throat if you dare propose such a thing.

So, Oswald was JUST GETTING to the 2nd floor lunch room when Baker first saw him, and that means that he was not there a minute before. 

So, at 12:30 sharp, if Oswald wasn't on the 6th floor; wasn't in the 1st floor lunch room; and wasn't in the 2nd floor lunch room, there is no place else he could have been but the doorway- unless you think he was in the crapper. But, Occam won't take kindly to that either. 

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