The issue of the expiration time of the bus transfer ticket is one that I have been discussing with John Armstrong, and he made an astute point:
It doesn't matter what it was; it only matters what Oswald thought it was.
Did Oswald read the fine print? Did he even look at the ticket? I seriously doubt it. It was handed to him on the bus as he was getting off the bus. So, he put it in his pocket, and that was it; he got off the bus.
And he didn't take it out and read it after that. Why? He already had the idea that he was going to take a cab instead. He had no reason to give any thought whatsoever to that transfer ticket.
What time was it handed to him? It may have been a little after 12:45 but not much. It was about 12:45. And he wasn't wearing a watch, so he didn't know the exact time. But, he may have had the general idea that the transfer ticket expired in 15 minutes, and if so, it meant that he expected it to expire at 1:00.
Again: there is no reason to think he even looked at it- never mind read it. And once he got the idea in his mind to take a cab instead of a bus, any thought about that transfer ticket completely vanished.
And by the time he got home, he wasn't thinking of riding a bus again anyway. There is no evidence for that whatsoever, and you can't make it up. It's not a card you're holding, so you can't play it.
And what it means, unless you are living in a pink world, is that there is 0% chance that Oswald moved that transfer ticket from one shirt to another. And that means: he did not change his shirt.
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